This space is an important spatial carrier for human production and life and socio-economic activities as well as ecological civilization construction including land, land waters, internal waters, territorial sea, and territorial air. In 2011, the State Council of China issued the National Plan for Main Functional Zones, which for the first time proposed the concept of “territorial space” that is similar to the nature of the environment. The simulation and prediction of territorial spatial layout from the lake-type basin hydrology scale can provide a reference for the formulation of regional territorial spatial planning policies. An improved quantitative spatial coupling model was used to simulate the territorial spatial layout of the DLB from 2000 to 2050 and identify its evolutionary characteristics and trends at both the elemental level and for three types of space. This study identified the best combination of driving factors and research step size affecting the evolution of territorial spatial layout. Taking the Dongting Lake Basin (DLB), a representative lake-type basin in China, as an example, this study identifies its territorial spatial layout elements and couples the system dynamics model with the patch-generating land-use simulation model based on multi-layer perceptron artificial neural networks. As cities are mostly centered on lakes and water systems, the evolution of territorial spatial layout in lake-type basins must have its own special characteristics.

However, the driving factors affecting the evolution of territorial spatial layout are not all influenced by administrative boundaries.

The study of spatial layout in China is changing from land use/land cover to territorial spatial layout and is mostly carried out at the administrative division scale.

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